ISIS and conspiracy theory .
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I do never feel ashamed of frequent talking about strategy of tension and theory of conspiracy, even after the late shocking video of ISIS in Sinai of Egypt. Not only because such operation needs much logistic and intelligence aid, but also because I do believe we, in Egypt, live in a big conspiracy, and do believe also this region is always wanted to be in tension, so as many Gulf and western capitals remains stable.
If you can't beat them, join them. This Western proverb is always being used by USA, and I think they use it again this time.
Intensive US concern, both academic and intelligence, of Islamic movements in the region and in Egypt in particular, made decision makers in Washington DC sure the making a bet on getting Egypt secular is not fruitful. It's even better, they thought, to find or even to create, a cute Islam, "skimmed" to great extent, which they call moderate. and everybody knows US prefers and backs "moderates" at the expense of fundamentalists, who seize upon Sharia (Islamic law), Caliphate and liberating all land of Palestine from river to the sea which means never recognizing Israel. This sort of Islam is always describes as radical and even terrorist.
Over three years, decision makers also become aware of how, for many reasons, spread Muslim brotherhood (MB) in Egypt really is. Through this time, they also got aware of the incapability of streams, like Abdolmonem Aboulfotoh, former MB leader and presidency runner, who renounced his history in MB and the respect of many MB youth members, nor Elnour salafi party who apostatized its classical beliefs about elections and democracy, of stealing the camera from the biggest organized group ever in Egypt.
US got sure that letting MB in Egypt in power for more time would likely lead to impossibility, or very hard at least, of overthrowing them from power later. That's why the Pentagon made the decision of military coup in 2013, over the first elected president ever in Egypt history, Muhammad Morsi. Such coup was done, of course, under political umbrella from former participants of 25th Jan revolution, intensive media attack over MB and their man in power, President Morsi, and under severe daily and economic crisis.
But the decision of military coup was a short term solution to inflict the biggest organized group which became in power of Egypt and has won five successive elections despite being under pressure all the time . What about the long run solution??
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In chapter two of his valuable book "US revolution of July", Galal keshk, the famous writer and historian, talked, by documents, about increasing feelings of wrath in the Egyptian street before 23rd of July 1952 revolution, which reached the boiling point after the disgraceful loss in 1948 war in Palestine. It was necessary for US to move quickly before things goes out of control.
Liberating movements overrun the region, and the whole world indeed, at that time, and it was not level-headed that UK troops withdrew from eastern India while did not withdraw from Egypt, which taught Indian politicians ethics of revolution and demonstrating since 1919.
Applying previous proverb above, US rode the wave of liberation from occupation and formation of independent national state. According to many references, US established strong relations with some kind of military officers aimed to be in power at the expense of those who believed in democracy and that military has to leave power to civilians, such as first president after July revolution Mohammed Naguib, MB and communists.
I think the region sees similar wave, not national this time but Islamic. And as it's impossible to uproot this soul or dilute it, it's better for US to see this region fall in hands of a western made Islamic movement rather than a hostile one.
Actually, I can't imagine a movement like ISIS grows up and spreads cross borders, controls oil fields while being under attack, at the time Obama claims he got 40 allied countries in US war against ISIS! 40 countries claim fighting ISIS while the main strikes were against Jabhat Al Nosra, at the same time ISIS claims fighting Syrian regime while its main fights were against other opposition, both secular and Islamic, groups.
Danger of ISIS is that it's Sunni, from the soil of this region, calling for slogans seem attractive to many youths, at time of shrinkage of hopes of peaceful change, particularly after military coup in Egypt.
ISIS simply makes coming back of US troops to the region is merely justified after an increasing thought in US they were wrong when they withdrew from the region, and have to return.
Existence of ISIS just needs to be justified, or may be to be more moral and glorious, and this was automatically provided by oppressing regimes both in Iraq and Syria and of course military coup in Egypt.
This, subsequently, does not mean I accuse all members of ISIS are group of US agents or western made! Such quotes kills reason, and inappropriate simplification of the matter.
But can't ignore many ISIS military leaders are unknown, and several releases indicates that former officers in Iraqi, and even Egyptian, army are involved in ISIS.
Cant't ignore also fall of Mosul, 2nd biggest Iraqi city, in the hands of ISIS, in only few hours which military can'y occur without on-field military treason. And the fall of Mosul also reminds us of the fall of Baghdad in 2003 and of Sana'a this summer. Why doesn't that repeat again and again??
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I do never feel ashamed of frequent talking about strategy of tension and theory of conspiracy, even after the late shocking video of ISIS in Sinai of Egypt. Not only because such operation needs much logistic and intelligence aid, but also because I do believe we, in Egypt, live in a big conspiracy, and do believe also this region is always wanted to be in tension, so as many Gulf and western capitals remains stable.
If you can't beat them, join them. This Western proverb is always being used by USA, and I think they use it again this time.
Intensive US concern, both academic and intelligence, of Islamic movements in the region and in Egypt in particular, made decision makers in Washington DC sure the making a bet on getting Egypt secular is not fruitful. It's even better, they thought, to find or even to create, a cute Islam, "skimmed" to great extent, which they call moderate. and everybody knows US prefers and backs "moderates" at the expense of fundamentalists, who seize upon Sharia (Islamic law), Caliphate and liberating all land of Palestine from river to the sea which means never recognizing Israel. This sort of Islam is always describes as radical and even terrorist.
Over three years, decision makers also become aware of how, for many reasons, spread Muslim brotherhood (MB) in Egypt really is. Through this time, they also got aware of the incapability of streams, like Abdolmonem Aboulfotoh, former MB leader and presidency runner, who renounced his history in MB and the respect of many MB youth members, nor Elnour salafi party who apostatized its classical beliefs about elections and democracy, of stealing the camera from the biggest organized group ever in Egypt.
US got sure that letting MB in Egypt in power for more time would likely lead to impossibility, or very hard at least, of overthrowing them from power later. That's why the Pentagon made the decision of military coup in 2013, over the first elected president ever in Egypt history, Muhammad Morsi. Such coup was done, of course, under political umbrella from former participants of 25th Jan revolution, intensive media attack over MB and their man in power, President Morsi, and under severe daily and economic crisis.
But the decision of military coup was a short term solution to inflict the biggest organized group which became in power of Egypt and has won five successive elections despite being under pressure all the time . What about the long run solution??
***
In chapter two of his valuable book "US revolution of July", Galal keshk, the famous writer and historian, talked, by documents, about increasing feelings of wrath in the Egyptian street before 23rd of July 1952 revolution, which reached the boiling point after the disgraceful loss in 1948 war in Palestine. It was necessary for US to move quickly before things goes out of control.
Liberating movements overrun the region, and the whole world indeed, at that time, and it was not level-headed that UK troops withdrew from eastern India while did not withdraw from Egypt, which taught Indian politicians ethics of revolution and demonstrating since 1919.
Applying previous proverb above, US rode the wave of liberation from occupation and formation of independent national state. According to many references, US established strong relations with some kind of military officers aimed to be in power at the expense of those who believed in democracy and that military has to leave power to civilians, such as first president after July revolution Mohammed Naguib, MB and communists.
I think the region sees similar wave, not national this time but Islamic. And as it's impossible to uproot this soul or dilute it, it's better for US to see this region fall in hands of a western made Islamic movement rather than a hostile one.
Actually, I can't imagine a movement like ISIS grows up and spreads cross borders, controls oil fields while being under attack, at the time Obama claims he got 40 allied countries in US war against ISIS! 40 countries claim fighting ISIS while the main strikes were against Jabhat Al Nosra, at the same time ISIS claims fighting Syrian regime while its main fights were against other opposition, both secular and Islamic, groups.
Danger of ISIS is that it's Sunni, from the soil of this region, calling for slogans seem attractive to many youths, at time of shrinkage of hopes of peaceful change, particularly after military coup in Egypt.
ISIS simply makes coming back of US troops to the region is merely justified after an increasing thought in US they were wrong when they withdrew from the region, and have to return.
Existence of ISIS just needs to be justified, or may be to be more moral and glorious, and this was automatically provided by oppressing regimes both in Iraq and Syria and of course military coup in Egypt.
This, subsequently, does not mean I accuse all members of ISIS are group of US agents or western made! Such quotes kills reason, and inappropriate simplification of the matter.
But can't ignore many ISIS military leaders are unknown, and several releases indicates that former officers in Iraqi, and even Egyptian, army are involved in ISIS.
Cant't ignore also fall of Mosul, 2nd biggest Iraqi city, in the hands of ISIS, in only few hours which military can'y occur without on-field military treason. And the fall of Mosul also reminds us of the fall of Baghdad in 2003 and of Sana'a this summer. Why doesn't that repeat again and again??
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